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The IMF Has Held Up a Mirror: Pakistan Cannot Look Away Now

 

The IMF Has Held Up a Mirror: Pakistan Cannot Look Away Now


The IMF’s newly released Pakistan: Governance and Corruption Diagnostic Report, a comprehensive federal-level assessment authored by a multidisciplinary team of global experts, offers the most systematic indictment yet of Pakistan’s governance architecture. Conducted at the government’s own request, the diagnostic lays bare how a heavily state-dominated economy, convoluted regulations, fragmented oversight, and inconsistent rule enforcement have entrenched persistent corruption risks across fiscal management, market regulation, financial sector oversight, AML/CFT controls, and the justice sector. Its conclusion is stark: institutional weakness and opaque decision-making have eroded public trust, impeded private sector growth, and repeatedly derailed reform. The report’s integrated recommendations, focused on transparency, coordination, and institutional integrity, represent not merely technocratic advice but a roadmap for Pakistan’s economic survival.


The International Monetary Fund’s Governance and Corruption Diagnostic Assessment is not just another technocratic document. It is a mirror, unforgiving, detailed, and deeply uncomfortable. And yet, if Pakistan genuinely wishes to escape its cycle of financial dependence, it must confront the reflection with honesty and courage.


For decades, Pakistan has muddled through successive IMF programmes, twenty-five so far, without addressing the core ailment: a state captured by vested interests, fragmented oversight, and a habitual absence of rule-based governance. The new assessment cuts through euphemisms and states plainly that corruption in Pakistan is “persistent and corrosive,” shaping everything from fiscal policy to public procurement, judicial performance, and foreign investment.


Its findings are not surprising to Pakistanis. What is striking is the precision: the IMF has identified fifteen urgent reforms, and it demands they begin within the next three to six months. For a country perpetually oscillating between crisis and bailout, the timeline is not a suggestion; it is a warning.


The most consequential recommendation concerns transparency in state decision-making. The Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC), which exercises sweeping authority over investment and regulatory matters, is asked to publish its first annual report immediately, listing every concession, exemption, and facilitated deal. In Washington, congressional oversight bodies would consider such disclosure the bare minimum for institutional legitimacy. In Pakistan, it would be revolutionary.


Equally significant is the IMF’s call for eliminating preferential treatment for state-owned enterprises in public procurement. Decades of discretionary contracting, direct awards, and opaque exemptions have crippled competition and inflated public spending. The Fund insists that all procurement shift to e-governance systems within twelve months, an attainable requirement, but one that will threaten powerful networks accustomed to bypassing rules.


On taxation, the assessment is devastating. Pakistan’s system is not just inefficient; it is “overly complex and opaque,” with authorities operating under insufficient oversight. The result is predictable: a declining tax-to-GDP ratio, chronic fiscal deficits, and a culture of evasion reinforced by arbitrary rule-changing. Genuine reform would require simplifying tax laws, curbing discretionary powers, and rebuilding trust through predictable, transparent administration.


But the most sensitive, and most critical, portion of the report concerns the judiciary. The IMF cites public perception surveys that rank the judiciary among Pakistan’s most corrupt institutions. It highlights antiquated laws, inefficiency, inconsistent enforcement of contracts, and troubling questions about integrity and independence. Even the recent constitutional reforms in judicial appointments raise concerns about politicisation unless accompanied by clear, merit-based criteria and transparent evaluation processes. No nation can sustain economic growth without reliable courts. Pakistan is no exception.


The report’s historical framing is blunt: from Jinnah’s 1947 denunciation of corruption to the present, the state has failed to erect guardrails against abuse of authority. Whether through the sugar export scandal of 2019 or the manipulation of procurement and subsidies by political and business elites, Pakistan’s political economy continues to revolve around privilege rather than principle.


Most damning is the IMF’s quantification of the costs. NAB’s reported recoveries of Rs5.3 trillion in just two years, an astonishing figure, represent only a fraction of the economic damage inflicted by graft. If true reform is implemented, the IMF estimates Pakistan could add 5–6.5 per cent to GDP over five years. That is transformative potential, the kind that could lift millions out of poverty and reverse decades of stagnation.


This moment, therefore, presents a rare inflection point. Pakistan can resist, delay, and dilute these reforms, its historical pattern, or it can seize the opportunity to rebuild its institutions on the foundations of transparency, legal certainty, and accountability. The latter path is not ideological; it is existential.


The world is watching, not because of geopolitics but because credibility in today’s global financial order is earned through governance standards, not speeches. If Pakistan wants investment, growth, and sovereign economic decision-making, it must first demonstrate that its laws apply equally to all and that no officeholder, uniformed or civilian, elected or appointed, is beyond scrutiny.


The IMF has delivered a document that Pakistan’s rulers would never write for themselves. It has handed the state a blueprint for integrity. Whether we act on it will determine whether future generations inherit a self-sustaining republic or a perpetually indebted one.


The mirror has been held up. The question is whether we finally have the courage to change the image.

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